Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Colorado
Tampa Bay
|
60
D-
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
61
D-
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
79
C+
6099
|
Offensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Colorado
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
61
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Colorado
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
96
A
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
76
C
|
Colorado
Tampa Bay
| 30 | Overall | 3 |
| 29 | Power | 6 |
| 16 | Offensive | 9 |
| 29 | Defensive | 6 |
| 3 | SoS (Current) | 18 |
| 3 | SoS (Full Season) | 18 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Tampa Bay 59%, Colorado 41% at Colorado.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Colorado has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Colorado has held at 62% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Colorado has held at 64% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Colorado | Neutral | At Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 4 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 5 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 6 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 7 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 8 | 63% | 65% | 68% |
| Wk 9 | 64% | 67% | 69% |
| Wk 10 | 62% | 64% | 67% |
| Wk 11 | 59% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 12 | 61% | 64% | 66% |
| Wk 13 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 14 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 15 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 16 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 17 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 18 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 19 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 20 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 21 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 22 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 23 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 24 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 25 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 26 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 27 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 28 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 29 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 30 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 31 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 32 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
Colorado
Tampa Bay
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
58-104 (35.8%) |
Overall |
106-70 (60.2%) |
|
32-49 (39.5%) |
Home |
60-29 (67.4%) |
|
26-55 (32.1%) |
Away |
46-41 (52.9%) |
|
4-27 (12.9%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-16 (46.7%) |
|
21-63 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
44-32 (57.9%) |
|
37-41 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
62-38 (62%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Colorado
Tampa Bay
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #29 LA Angels | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 14 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #8 Philadelphia |
| 13 runs vs #27 San Francisco | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
Colorado
Tampa Bay
| 4.6 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 5.8 | Runs Against | 4 |
| 5 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 6.2 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.3 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 5.4 | Away RA | 4 |
| 13675-13024 | Opponent Record | 14562-14395 |
| 13.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Colorado
Tampa Bay
| Sep 27 | at Chi White Sox (88-81) | L2-4 | Oct 28 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 |
| Sep 26 | at Chi White Sox (88-81) | W9-6 | Oct 27 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W4-3 |
| Sep 25 | at Chi White Sox (88-81) | L1-6 | Oct 26 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-10 |
| Sep 24 | vs Arizona (86-76) | L8-12 | Oct 24 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-5 |
| Sep 23 | vs Arizona (86-76) | L3-5 | Oct 23 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 |
| Sep 22 | vs Arizona (86-76) | L2-7 | Oct 19 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 20 | vs Seattle (76-86) | L1-2 | Oct 18 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |
| Sep 19 | vs Seattle (76-86) | W5-3 | Oct 17 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 18 | vs Seattle (76-86) | L4-5 | Oct 15 | at Cleveland (90-83) | L2-3 |
| Sep 17 | vs San Diego (94-74) | L2-9 | Oct 13 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |