Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Cincinnati
Atlanta
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
67
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Cincinnati
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
95
A
6099
|
|
Cincinnati
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
Cincinnati
Atlanta
| 20 | Overall | 4 |
| 28 | Power | 5 |
| 25 | Offensive | 8 |
| 28 | Defensive | 4 |
| 1 | SoS (Current) | 11 |
| 1 | SoS (Full Season) | 11 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Atlanta 59%, Cincinnati 41% at Cincinnati.
Atlanta's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Atlanta's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Atlanta's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 64% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Cincinnati | Neutral | At Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 84% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 73% | 75% | 77% |
| Wk 5 | 65% | 67% | 69% |
| Wk 6 | 65% | 68% | 70% |
| Wk 7 | 71% | 73% | 75% |
| Wk 8 | 70% | 72% | 74% |
| Wk 9 | 70% | 72% | 74% |
| Wk 10 | 68% | 71% | 73% |
| Wk 11 | 69% | 71% | 73% |
| Wk 12 | 68% | 71% | 73% |
| Wk 13 | 65% | 68% | 70% |
| Wk 14 | 62% | 64% | 67% |
| Wk 15 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 16 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 17 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 18 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 19 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 20 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 21 | 61% | 63% | 66% |
| Wk 22 | 61% | 63% | 66% |
| Wk 23 | 61% | 63% | 66% |
| Wk 24 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 25 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 26 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 27 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 28 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 29 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 30 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 31 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 32 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
Cincinnati
Atlanta
|
3-3 (50%) |
Head to Head |
3-3 (50%) |
|
75-87 (46.3%) |
Overall |
97-72 (57.4%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Home |
54-32 (62.8%) |
|
37-44 (45.7%) |
Away |
43-40 (51.8%) |
|
12-20 (37.5%) |
Versus Top 5 |
11-11 (50%) |
|
36-52 (40.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
43-33 (56.6%) |
|
39-35 (52.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
54-39 (58.1%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Cincinnati
Atlanta
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 14 runs vs #18 Washington | Largest MOV | 15 runs vs #10 Arizona |
| 20 runs vs #1 Milwaukee | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #14 Miami |
Cincinnati
Atlanta
| 4.1 | Runs per Game | 4.5 |
| 5.1 | Runs Against | 3.8 |
| 4 | Home RPG | 4.7 |
| 4.7 | Home RA | 3.9 |
| 4.2 | Away RPG | 4.3 |
| 5.5 | Away RA | 3.8 |
| 13724-13017 | Opponent Record | 13965-13796 |
| 13.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.6 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Cincinnati
Atlanta
| Sep 27 | at Toronto (79-83) | L1-5 | Oct 7 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-4 |
| Sep 26 | at Toronto (79-83) | W5-1 | Oct 6 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-3 |
| Sep 25 | at Toronto (79-83) | L5-6 | Oct 4 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W3-2 |
| Sep 24 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W7-6 | Oct 3 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L3-5 |
| Sep 23 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-3 | Oct 1 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W6-2 |
| Sep 22 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-0 | Sep 30 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L3-4 |
| Sep 20 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-9 | Sep 29 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W5-3 |
| Sep 19 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L2-5 | Sep 27 | at Miami (80-82) | L3-5 |
| Sep 18 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W6-4 | Sep 26 | at Miami (80-82) | W8-3 |
| Sep 17 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L2-8 | Sep 25 | at Miami (80-82) | L0-3 |