Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Chicago
Atlanta
|
91
A-
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
98
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Chicago
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
87
B+
6099
|
Defensive |
95
A
6099
|
|
Chicago
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
Chicago
Atlanta
| 7 | Overall | 4 |
| 3 | Power | 5 |
| 2 | Offensive | 8 |
| 10 | Defensive | 4 |
| 10 | SoS (Current) | 11 |
| 10 | SoS (Full Season) | 11 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Chi Cubs 54%, Atlanta 46% at Chi Cubs.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Atlanta has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Atlanta has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Atlanta has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Atlanta | Neutral | At Chi Cubs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 28% | 31% | 33% |
| Wk 4 | 37% | 39% | 42% |
| Wk 5 | 42% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 6 | 41% | 43% | 46% |
| Wk 7 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 8 | 40% | 43% | 45% |
| Wk 9 | 37% | 39% | 42% |
| Wk 10 | 36% | 39% | 41% |
| Wk 11 | 34% | 37% | 39% |
| Wk 12 | 35% | 37% | 40% |
| Wk 13 | 38% | 41% | 44% |
| Wk 14 | 41% | 43% | 46% |
| Wk 15 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 16 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 17 | 42% | 45% | 47% |
| Wk 18 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 19 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 20 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 21 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 22 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 23 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 26 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 27 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 28 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 29 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 30 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 31 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 32 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
Chicago
Atlanta
|
3-3 (50%) |
Head to Head |
3-3 (50%) |
|
89-75 (54.3%) |
Overall |
97-72 (57.4%) |
|
46-35 (56.8%) |
Home |
54-32 (62.8%) |
|
43-40 (51.8%) |
Away |
43-40 (51.8%) |
|
14-17 (45.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
11-11 (50%) |
|
41-36 (53.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
43-33 (56.6%) |
|
48-39 (55.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
54-39 (58.1%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Chicago
Atlanta
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 20 runs vs #6 San Diego | Largest MOV | 15 runs vs #10 Arizona |
| 16 runs vs #17 St. Louis | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #14 Miami |
Chicago
Atlanta
| 5.2 | Runs per Game | 4.5 |
| 4.4 | Runs Against | 3.8 |
| 5.2 | Home RPG | 4.7 |
| 4.5 | Home RA | 3.9 |
| 5.1 | Away RPG | 4.3 |
| 4.3 | Away RA | 3.8 |
| 13704-13330 | Opponent Record | 13965-13796 |
| 14.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.6 |
| W 10 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Chicago
Atlanta
| Sep 30 | at San Diego (94-74) | L1-4 | Oct 7 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-4 |
| Sep 29 | at San Diego (94-74) | L0-8 | Oct 6 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-3 |
| Sep 27 | at Boston (87-77) | W6-2 | Oct 4 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W3-2 |
| Sep 25 | at Boston (87-77) | L0-2 | Oct 3 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L3-5 |
| Sep 25 | at Boston (87-77) | L3-4 | Oct 1 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W6-2 |
| Sep 24 | vs Miami (80-82) | W2-1 | Sep 30 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L3-4 |
| Sep 23 | vs Miami (80-82) | L2-3 | Sep 29 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W5-3 |
| Sep 22 | vs Miami (80-82) | L2-8 | Sep 27 | at Miami (80-82) | L3-5 |
| Sep 20 | at Cincinnati (75-87) | W9-1 | Sep 26 | at Miami (80-82) | W8-3 |
| Sep 19 | at Cincinnati (75-87) | W5-2 | Sep 25 | at Miami (80-82) | L0-3 |