Tampa Bay at Boston Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
RUN SPREAD
Boston by 0.39
TOTAL RUNS
8.48
UPDATED
Tuesday, September 15, 2026
RATINGS
Boston
Tampa Bay 
|
90
A-
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
92
A-
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Offensive |
90
A-
|
|
94
A
|
Defensive |
91
A-
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
71
C-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
75
C
|
RANKINGS
Boston
Tampa Bay
| 8 | Overall | 3 |
| 6 | Power | 7 |
| 12 | Offensive | 8 |
| 5 | Defensive | 7 |
| 16 | SoS (Current) | 22 |
| 14 | SoS (Future) | 19 |
Boston#853%
Tampa Bay#347%Wk 26 (Sep 15), 2026: Boston 53%, Tampa Bay 47% at Boston.
Boston's win probability against Tampa Bay is trending down — from 52% to 48% over the last 6 weeks.
Boston's win probability against Tampa Bay is trending down — from 54% to 51% over the last 6 weeks.
Boston's win probability against Tampa Bay is trending down — from 57% to 53% over the last 6 weeks.
Boston favored
Tampa Bay favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Tampa Bay | Neutral | At Boston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 1 | 66% | 68% | 71% |
| Wk 2 | 32% | 34% | 37% |
| Wk 3 | 42% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 4 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 5 | 39% | 41% | 44% |
| Wk 6 | 41% | 43% | 46% |
| Wk 7 | 41% | 43% | 46% |
| Wk 8 | 38% | 40% | 43% |
| Wk 9 | 37% | 39% | 42% |
| Wk 10 | 40% | 43% | 46% |
| Wk 11 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 12 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 13 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 14 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 15 | 43% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 16 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 17 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 18 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 19 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 20 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 21 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 23 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 25 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 26 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
RECORDS
Boston
Tampa Bay
|
5-5 (50%) |
Head to Head |
5-5 (50%) |
|
82-68 (54.7%) |
Overall |
90-59 (60.4%) |
|
38-37 (50.7%) |
Home |
50-25 (66.7%) |
|
44-31 (58.7%) |
Away |
40-34 (54.1%) |
|
18-17 (51.4%) |
Versus Top 5 |
9-9 (50%) |
|
32-30 (51.6%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
35-23 (60.3%) |
|
50-38 (56.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
55-36 (60.4%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Boston
Tampa Bay
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 16 runs vs #17 Baltimore | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
| 15 runs vs #5 NY Yankees | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
OTHER STATISTICS
Boston
Tampa Bay
| 4.4 | Runs per Game | 4.6 |
| 3.8 | Runs Against | 4.1 |
| 4.5 | Home RPG | 4.6 |
| 4.1 | Home RA | 4.1 |
| 4.3 | Away RPG | 4.5 |
| 3.6 | Away RA | 4.1 |
| 11284-11262 | Opponent Record | 11092-11320 |
| 15.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 16.2 |
| W 15 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Boston
Tampa Bay
| Sep 13 | vs Kansas City (66-84) | W4-1 | Sep 13 | vs Houston (75-75) | W14-4 |
| Sep 12 | vs Kansas City (66-84) | W5-1 | Sep 12 | vs Houston (75-75) | W3-2 |
| Sep 11 | vs Kansas City (66-84) | L2-3 | Sep 11 | vs Houston (75-75) | W3-1 |
| Sep 9 | vs LA Angels (57-93) | L4-6 | Sep 10 | at #4 Atlanta (88-63) | L1-3 |
| Sep 8 | vs LA Angels (57-93) | L1-6 | Sep 9 | at #4 Atlanta (88-63) | W7-2 |
| Sep 7 | vs LA Angels (57-93) | W5-2 | Sep 8 | at #4 Atlanta (88-63) | W7-1 |
| Sep 6 | at Baltimore (73-78) | W3-1 | Sep 6 | at Texas (74-76) | L6-8 |
| Sep 5 | at Baltimore (73-78) | W5-0 | Sep 5 | at Texas (74-76) | W6-3 |
| Sep 4 | at Baltimore (73-78) | W1-0 | Sep 4 | at Texas (74-76) | W7-6 |
| Sep 3 | at Baltimore (73-78) | W6-5 | Sep 3 | at Texas (74-76) | L0-6 |
