Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Baltimore
Milwaukee
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
82
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Baltimore
6099
Milwaukee
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Baltimore
6099
Milwaukee
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
Baltimore
Milwaukee
| 15 | Overall | 1 |
| 19 | Power | 1 |
| 14 | Offensive | 1 |
| 20 | Defensive | 1 |
| 14 | SoS (Current) | 7 |
| 14 | SoS (Full Season) | 7 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Milwaukee 59%, Baltimore 41% at Baltimore.
Milwaukee's win probability against Baltimore has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Milwaukee's win probability against Baltimore has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Milwaukee's win probability against Baltimore has held at 64% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Baltimore | Neutral | At Milwaukee |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 63% | 66% | 68% |
| Wk 4 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 5 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 6 | 65% | 67% | 70% |
| Wk 7 | 69% | 71% | 73% |
| Wk 8 | 67% | 69% | 72% |
| Wk 9 | 71% | 73% | 75% |
| Wk 10 | 67% | 69% | 72% |
| Wk 11 | 64% | 66% | 68% |
| Wk 12 | 63% | 66% | 68% |
| Wk 13 | 65% | 67% | 69% |
| Wk 14 | 63% | 66% | 68% |
| Wk 15 | 63% | 65% | 67% |
| Wk 16 | 62% | 65% | 67% |
| Wk 17 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 18 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 19 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 20 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 21 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 22 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 23 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 24 | 57% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 25 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 26 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 27 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 28 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 29 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 30 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 31 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 32 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
Baltimore
Milwaukee
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
78-82 (48.8%) |
Overall |
114-61 (65.1%) |
|
38-42 (47.5%) |
Home |
61-26 (70.1%) |
|
40-40 (50%) |
Away |
53-35 (60.2%) |
|
14-20 (41.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
20-8 (71.4%) |
|
29-46 (38.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
54-31 (63.5%) |
|
49-36 (57.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
60-30 (66.7%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
Baltimore
Milwaukee
| #2 LA Dodgers | Best Win | #2 LA Dodgers |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 12 runs vs #17 St. Louis | Largest MOV | 22 runs vs #25 Seattle |
| 16 runs vs #9 Boston | Largest MOD | 14 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs |
Baltimore
Milwaukee
| 4.5 | Runs per Game | 5.1 |
| 4.6 | Runs Against | 3.7 |
| 4.2 | Home RPG | 5.4 |
| 4.4 | Home RA | 3.4 |
| 4.7 | Away RPG | 4.8 |
| 4.9 | Away RA | 4 |
| 13352-13072 | Opponent Record | 14481-14290 |
| 15.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.3 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Baltimore
Milwaukee
| Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L3-6 | Oct 28 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W4-1 |
| Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W10-2 | Oct 27 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L3-4 |
| Sep 23 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-2 | Oct 26 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W10-1 |
| Sep 21 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-3 | Oct 24 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W5-4 |
| Sep 20 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L0-3 | Oct 23 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W3-2 |
| Sep 19 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L0-1 | Oct 15 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W6-4 |
| Sep 18 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L5-6 | Oct 14 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W6-2 |
| Sep 16 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-1 | Oct 12 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W7-4 |
| Sep 15 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-5 | Oct 11 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W2-1 |
| Sep 14 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W2-1 | Oct 7 | at San Diego (94-74) | W3-1 |