Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Philadelphia
Atlanta
|
90
A-
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
76
C
6099
|
Offensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Philadelphia
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
86
B
6099
|
Defensive |
95
A
6099
|
|
Philadelphia
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
84
B
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
Philadelphia
Atlanta
| 8 | Overall | 4 |
| 12 | Power | 5 |
| 18 | Offensive | 8 |
| 11 | Defensive | 4 |
| 12 | SoS (Current) | 11 |
| 12 | SoS (Full Season) | 11 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Atlanta 57%, Philadelphia 43% at Atlanta.
Atlanta's win probability against Philadelphia has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Atlanta's win probability against Philadelphia has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Atlanta's win probability against Philadelphia has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Philadelphia | Neutral | At Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 84% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 82% | 83% | 85% |
| Wk 5 | 76% | 78% | 80% |
| Wk 6 | 71% | 73% | 75% |
| Wk 7 | 70% | 72% | 75% |
| Wk 8 | 68% | 71% | 73% |
| Wk 9 | 68% | 70% | 72% |
| Wk 10 | 65% | 68% | 70% |
| Wk 11 | 63% | 66% | 68% |
| Wk 12 | 63% | 65% | 67% |
| Wk 13 | 59% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 14 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 15 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 16 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 17 | 57% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 18 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 19 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 20 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 21 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 22 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 23 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 24 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 25 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 26 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 27 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 28 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 29 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 30 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 31 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 32 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
Philadelphia
Atlanta
|
5-11 (31.3%) |
Head to Head |
11-5 (68.8%) |
|
89-76 (53.9%) |
Overall |
97-72 (57.4%) |
|
43-38 (53.1%) |
Home |
54-32 (62.8%) |
|
46-38 (54.8%) |
Away |
43-40 (51.8%) |
|
11-23 (32.4%) |
Versus Top 5 |
11-11 (50%) |
|
31-38 (44.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
43-33 (56.6%) |
|
58-38 (60.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
54-39 (58.1%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Philadelphia
Atlanta
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 12 runs vs #22 NY Mets | Largest MOV | 15 runs vs #10 Arizona |
| 14 runs vs #26 Kansas City | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #14 Miami |
Philadelphia
Atlanta
| 4.4 | Runs per Game | 4.5 |
| 4.3 | Runs Against | 3.8 |
| 4.8 | Home RPG | 4.7 |
| 4.6 | Home RA | 3.9 |
| 4 | Away RPG | 4.3 |
| 4 | Away RA | 3.8 |
| 13648-13487 | Opponent Record | 13965-13796 |
| 14.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.6 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Philadelphia
Atlanta
| Oct 1 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-6 | Oct 7 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-4 |
| Sep 30 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-3 | Oct 6 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-3 |
| Sep 29 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-5 | Oct 4 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W3-2 |
| Sep 27 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W7-3 | Oct 3 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L3-5 |
| Sep 26 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-12 | Oct 1 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W6-2 |
| Sep 25 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L0-2 | Sep 30 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L3-4 |
| Sep 24 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-5 | Sep 29 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W5-3 |
| Sep 23 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 | Sep 27 | at Miami (80-82) | L3-5 |
| Sep 22 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W6-4 | Sep 26 | at Miami (80-82) | W8-3 |
| Sep 20 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-2 | Sep 25 | at Miami (80-82) | L0-3 |