Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Boston
Atlanta
|
88
B+
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
72
C-
6099
|
Offensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Boston
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
94
A
6099
|
Defensive |
95
A
6099
|
|
Boston
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
Boston
Atlanta
| 9 | Overall | 4 |
| 9 | Power | 5 |
| 21 | Offensive | 8 |
| 5 | Defensive | 4 |
| 17 | SoS (Current) | 11 |
| 17 | SoS (Full Season) | 11 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Atlanta 55%, Boston 45% at Atlanta.
Atlanta's win probability against Boston has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Atlanta's win probability against Boston has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Atlanta's win probability against Boston has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Boston | Neutral | At Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 83% | 84% | 86% |
| Wk 4 | 74% | 77% | 78% |
| Wk 5 | 73% | 75% | 77% |
| Wk 6 | 66% | 69% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 65% | 67% | 70% |
| Wk 8 | 67% | 70% | 72% |
| Wk 9 | 66% | 69% | 71% |
| Wk 10 | 65% | 67% | 70% |
| Wk 11 | 61% | 64% | 66% |
| Wk 12 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 13 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 14 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 15 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 17 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 18 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 19 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 20 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 22 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 23 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 24 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 26 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 27 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 28 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 29 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 30 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 31 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 32 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
Boston
Atlanta
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
87-77 (53%) |
Overall |
97-72 (57.4%) |
|
41-40 (50.6%) |
Home |
54-32 (62.8%) |
|
46-37 (55.4%) |
Away |
43-40 (51.8%) |
|
19-21 (47.5%) |
Versus Top 5 |
11-11 (50%) |
|
35-32 (52.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
43-33 (56.6%) |
|
52-45 (53.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
54-39 (58.1%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Boston
Atlanta
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 16 runs vs #15 Baltimore | Largest MOV | 15 runs vs #10 Arizona |
| 15 runs vs #5 NY Yankees | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #14 Miami |
Boston
Atlanta
| 4.2 | Runs per Game | 4.5 |
| 3.8 | Runs Against | 3.8 |
| 4.3 | Home RPG | 4.7 |
| 3.9 | Home RA | 3.9 |
| 4.1 | Away RPG | 4.3 |
| 3.7 | Away RA | 3.8 |
| 13646-13409 | Opponent Record | 13965-13796 |
| 15.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.6 |
| W 15 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Boston
Atlanta
| Sep 30 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L2-9 | Oct 7 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-4 |
| Sep 29 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L0-9 | Oct 6 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-3 |
| Sep 27 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L2-6 | Oct 4 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W3-2 |
| Sep 25 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W2-0 | Oct 3 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L3-5 |
| Sep 25 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W4-3 | Oct 1 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W6-2 |
| Sep 24 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L0-1 | Sep 30 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L3-4 |
| Sep 23 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W1-0 | Sep 29 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W5-3 |
| Sep 22 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L2-3 | Sep 27 | at Miami (80-82) | L3-5 |
| Sep 20 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-5 | Sep 26 | at Miami (80-82) | W8-3 |
| Sep 19 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-2 | Sep 25 | at Miami (80-82) | L0-3 |