Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Arizona
Atlanta
|
87
B+
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
87
B+
6099
|
Offensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Arizona
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
79
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
95
A
6099
|
|
Arizona
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
Arizona
Atlanta
| 10 | Overall | 4 |
| 13 | Power | 5 |
| 10 | Offensive | 8 |
| 16 | Defensive | 4 |
| 16 | SoS (Current) | 11 |
| 16 | SoS (Full Season) | 11 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Atlanta 57%, Arizona 43% at Atlanta.
Atlanta's win probability against Arizona has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Atlanta's win probability against Arizona has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Atlanta's win probability against Arizona has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Arizona | Neutral | At Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 67% | 70% | 72% |
| Wk 4 | 67% | 69% | 71% |
| Wk 5 | 68% | 70% | 72% |
| Wk 6 | 68% | 70% | 72% |
| Wk 7 | 66% | 69% | 71% |
| Wk 8 | 66% | 68% | 70% |
| Wk 9 | 63% | 66% | 68% |
| Wk 10 | 61% | 63% | 66% |
| Wk 11 | 61% | 64% | 66% |
| Wk 12 | 62% | 65% | 67% |
| Wk 13 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 14 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 15 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 16 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 17 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 18 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 19 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 20 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 21 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 23 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 25 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 26 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 27 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 28 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 29 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 30 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 31 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 32 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
Arizona
Atlanta
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Head to Head |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
86-76 (53.1%) |
Overall |
97-72 (57.4%) |
|
45-36 (55.6%) |
Home |
54-32 (62.8%) |
|
41-40 (50.6%) |
Away |
43-40 (51.8%) |
|
15-17 (46.9%) |
Versus Top 5 |
11-11 (50%) |
|
33-39 (45.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
43-33 (56.6%) |
|
53-37 (58.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
54-39 (58.1%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Arizona
Atlanta
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 10 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 15 runs vs #10 Arizona |
| 15 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #14 Miami |
Arizona
Atlanta
| 4.6 | Runs per Game | 4.5 |
| 4.5 | Runs Against | 3.8 |
| 4.6 | Home RPG | 4.7 |
| 4.4 | Home RA | 3.9 |
| 4.5 | Away RPG | 4.3 |
| 4.6 | Away RA | 3.8 |
| 13325-13375 | Opponent Record | 13965-13796 |
| 15.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.6 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Arizona
Atlanta
| Sep 27 | at San Diego (94-74) | L4-9 | Oct 7 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-4 |
| Sep 26 | at San Diego (94-74) | L7-10 | Oct 6 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-3 |
| Sep 25 | at San Diego (94-74) | W11-4 | Oct 4 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W3-2 |
| Sep 24 | at Colorado (58-104) | W12-8 | Oct 3 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L3-5 |
| Sep 23 | at Colorado (58-104) | W5-3 | Oct 1 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W6-2 |
| Sep 22 | at Colorado (58-104) | W7-2 | Sep 30 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L3-4 |
| Sep 20 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W8-4 | Sep 29 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W5-3 |
| Sep 19 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W5-3 | Sep 27 | at Miami (80-82) | L3-5 |
| Sep 18 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L2-9 | Sep 26 | at Miami (80-82) | W8-3 |
| Sep 16 | vs Miami (80-82) | L3-4 | Sep 25 | at Miami (80-82) | L0-3 |