Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Miami
Arizona
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
87
B+
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
84
B
6099
|
Defensive |
79
C+
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
Miami
Arizona
| 14 | Overall | 10 |
| 15 | Power | 13 |
| 15 | Offensive | 10 |
| 12 | Defensive | 16 |
| 8 | SoS (Current) | 16 |
| 8 | SoS (Full Season) | 16 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Arizona 53%, Miami 47% at Arizona.
Arizona's win probability against Miami has held at 47% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Arizona's win probability against Miami has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Arizona's win probability against Miami has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Miami | Neutral | At Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 4 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 5 | 41% | 44% | 46% |
| Wk 6 | 39% | 41% | 44% |
| Wk 7 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 8 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 9 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 10 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 11 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 12 | 44% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 13 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 14 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 15 | 42% | 45% | 47% |
| Wk 16 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 17 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 18 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 19 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 20 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 22 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 23 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 25 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 26 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 27 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 28 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 29 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 30 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 31 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 32 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
Miami
Arizona
|
5-1 (83.3%) |
Head to Head |
1-5 (16.7%) |
|
80-82 (49.4%) |
Overall |
86-76 (53.1%) |
|
47-34 (58%) |
Home |
45-36 (55.6%) |
|
33-48 (40.7%) |
Away |
41-40 (50.6%) |
|
13-21 (38.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
15-17 (46.9%) |
|
33-47 (41.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
33-39 (45.8%) |
|
47-35 (57.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
53-37 (58.9%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Miami
Arizona
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 12 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOV | 10 runs vs #28 Athletics |
| 12 runs vs #11 Pittsburgh | Largest MOD | 15 runs vs #4 Atlanta |
Miami
Arizona
| 4.4 | Runs per Game | 4.6 |
| 4.4 | Runs Against | 4.5 |
| 4.5 | Home RPG | 4.6 |
| 4 | Home RA | 4.4 |
| 4.4 | Away RPG | 4.5 |
| 4.8 | Away RA | 4.6 |
| 13517-13190 | Opponent Record | 13325-13375 |
| 14.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Miami
Arizona
| Sep 27 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W5-3 | Sep 27 | at San Diego (94-74) | L4-9 |
| Sep 26 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-8 | Sep 26 | at San Diego (94-74) | L7-10 |
| Sep 25 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W3-0 | Sep 25 | at San Diego (94-74) | W11-4 |
| Sep 24 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-2 | Sep 24 | at Colorado (58-104) | W12-8 |
| Sep 23 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W3-2 | Sep 23 | at Colorado (58-104) | W5-3 |
| Sep 22 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W8-2 | Sep 22 | at Colorado (58-104) | W7-2 |
| Sep 20 | at San Diego (94-74) | L3-7 | Sep 20 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W8-4 |
| Sep 19 | at San Diego (94-74) | L6-7 | Sep 19 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W5-3 |
| Sep 18 | at San Diego (94-74) | L2-8 | Sep 18 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L2-9 |
| Sep 16 | at Arizona (86-76) | W4-3 | Sep 16 | vs Miami (80-82) | L3-4 |