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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Upper Iowa 79%, William Jewell 21% at Upper Iowa.
Upper Iowa's win probability against William Jewell has swung between 40% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Upper Iowa's win probability against William Jewell has swung between 47% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.
Upper Iowa's win probability against William Jewell has swung between 53% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 79% now.