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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Indianapolis 73%, Upper Iowa 27% at Upper Iowa.
Indianapolis' win probability against Upper Iowa has swung between 62% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
Indianapolis' win probability against Upper Iowa has swung between 67% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
Indianapolis' win probability against Upper Iowa has swung between 73% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.