Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Tennessee 64%, Northwestern 36% at Tennessee.
Tennessee's win probability against Northwestern has swung between 38% and 57% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
Tennessee's win probability against Northwestern has swung between 44% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Tennessee's win probability against Northwestern has swung between 51% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.