Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Southern Cal 95%, San Jose St 5% at Southern Cal.
Southern Cal's win probability against San Jose St has swung between 89% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 92% now.
Southern Cal's win probability against San Jose St has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Southern Cal's win probability against San Jose St has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.