Fresno St at Southern Cal Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Southern Cal by 15.95
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Fresno St
Southern Cal 
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
75
C
|
Offensive |
90
A-
|
|
79
C+
|
Defensive |
85
B
|
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
89
B+
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
|
75
C
|
SoR (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
74
C
|
SoR (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
RANKINGS
Fresno St
Southern Cal
| 94 #122 overall |
Overall | 35 #35 overall |
| 78 #78 overall |
Power | 40 #40 overall |
| 85 #86 overall |
Offensive | 32 #32 overall |
| 73 #73 overall |
Defensive | 50 #50 overall |
| 115 #126 overall |
SoS (Current) | 36 #36 overall |
| 91 #91 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 29 #29 overall |
Southern Cal#3582%
Fresno St#9418%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Southern Cal 82%, Fresno St 18% at Southern Cal.
Southern Cal's win probability against Fresno St is trending down — from 85% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
Southern Cal's win probability against Fresno St is trending down — from 88% to 78% over the last 6 weeks.
Southern Cal's win probability against Fresno St is trending down — from 91% to 82% over the last 6 weeks.
Southern Cal favored
Fresno St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Fresno St | Neutral | At Southern Cal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 89% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 1 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 2 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 3 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 5 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 6 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 7 | 70% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 8 | 77% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 9 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
RECORDS
Fresno St
Southern Cal
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
6-2 (75%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Fresno St
Southern Cal
| #168 San Jose St | Best Win | #69 Washington |
| #107 San Diego St | Worst Loss | #31 Oregon |
| 46 pts vs #432 Sacramento St | Largest MOV | 39 pts vs #122 Fresno St |
| 39 pts vs #35 Southern Cal | Largest MOD | 17 pts vs #25 Wisconsin |
OTHER STATISTICS
Fresno St
Southern Cal
| 27.6 | Points per Game | 32.8 |
| 20.9 | Points Against | 25 |
| 39.3 | Home PPG | 36.4 |
| 21.7 | Home PA | 23.6 |
| 18.8 | Away PPG | 26.7 |
| 20.3 | Away PA | 27.3 |
| 22-33 | Opponent Record | 31-27 |
| 188.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 96.1 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Fresno St
Southern Cal
| Oct 17 | at San Diego St (3-5) | L23-26 | Oct 24 | at #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L7-24 |
| Oct 10 | vs #24 Boise St (6-1) | L31-38 | Oct 10 | at Penn State (3-4) | W31-23 |
| Oct 3 | at Washington St (1-7) | W26-6 | Oct 3 | vs Washington (4-3) | W25-21 |
| Sep 26 | vs Rice (1-7) | W38-24 | Sep 26 | vs Oregon (4-3) | L27-41 |
| Sep 19 | at San Jose St (4-4) | W26-10 | Sep 19 | at Rutgers (2-5) | W42-35 |
| Sep 12 | vs Sacramento St (1-7) | W49-3 | Sep 12 | vs Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | W49-30 |
| Sep 4 | at Southern Cal (6-2) | L0-39 | Sep 4 | vs Fresno St (4-3) | W39-0 |