Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Benedict 77%, Shorter 23% at Shorter.
Benedict's win probability against Shorter has swung between 46% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 77% now.
Benedict's win probability against Shorter has swung between 52% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 81% now.
Benedict's win probability against Shorter has swung between 59% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 85% now.