Minnesota at Penn State Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Penn State by 8.98
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Penn State
Minnesota 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
90
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
86
B
|
Offensive |
80
B-
|
|
90
A-
|
Defensive |
85
B
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
84
B
|
SoR (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
RANKINGS
Penn State
Minnesota
| 75 #89 overall |
Overall | 34 #34 overall |
| 37 #37 overall |
Power | 59 #59 overall |
| 46 #46 overall |
Offensive | 69 #69 overall |
| 34 #34 overall |
Defensive | 51 #51 overall |
| 26 #26 overall |
SoS (Current) | 81 #81 overall |
| 46 #46 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 47 #47 overall |
Penn State#7570%
Minnesota#3430%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Penn State 70%, Minnesota 30% at Penn State.
Penn State's win probability against Minnesota is trending down — from 81% to 58% over the last 6 weeks.
Penn State's win probability against Minnesota is trending down — from 85% to 64% over the last 6 weeks.
Penn State's win probability against Minnesota is trending down — from 88% to 70% over the last 6 weeks.
Penn State favored
Minnesota favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Minnesota | Neutral | At Penn State |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 1 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 2 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 4 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 5 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 6 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 8 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 9 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
RECORDS
Penn State
Minnesota
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Penn State
Minnesota
| #114 Buffalo | Best Win | #32 Iowa |
| #37 Michigan | Worst Loss | #45 Purdue |
| 45 pts vs #134 Marshall | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #385 Eastern Illinois |
| 21 pts vs #22 Northwestern | Largest MOD | 28 pts vs #45 Purdue |
OTHER STATISTICS
Penn State
Minnesota
| 28.7 | Points per Game | 26.6 |
| 18.9 | Points Against | 20.1 |
| 35.8 | Home PPG | 29.2 |
| 17 | Home PA | 15.2 |
| 19.3 | Away PPG | 20 |
| 21.3 | Away PA | 32.5 |
| 32-19 | Opponent Record | 23-28 |
| 84.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 133.3 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Penn State
Minnesota
| Oct 17 | at Michigan (4-3) | L18-21 | Oct 24 | vs Iowa (5-2) | W13-10 |
| Oct 10 | vs Southern Cal (6-2) | L23-31 | Oct 10 | at Purdue (3-4) | L13-41 |
| Oct 2 | at #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L13-34 | Oct 3 | vs Michigan (4-3) | W20-14 |
| Sep 26 | vs #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L20-24 | Sep 26 | at Washington (4-3) | W27-24 |
| Sep 19 | vs Buffalo (5-3) | W55-13 | Sep 19 | vs Akron (1-7) | W41-7 |
| Sep 12 | at Temple (2-5) | W27-9 | Sep 12 | vs Mississippi St (4-3) | L13-38 |
| Sep 5 | vs Marshall (4-3) | W45-0 | Sep 3 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-6) | W59-7 |