Buffalo at Penn State Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Penn State by 31.24
TOTAL POINTS
50
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Buffalo
Penn State 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
78
C+
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
65
D
|
Offensive |
86
B
|
|
65
D
|
Defensive |
90
A-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
|
72
C-
|
SoR (Current) |
76
C
|
|
70
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
84
B
|
RANKINGS
Buffalo
Penn State
| 90 #114 overall |
Overall | 75 #89 overall |
| 121 #128 overall |
Power | 37 #37 overall |
| 119 #133 overall |
Offensive | 46 #46 overall |
| 122 #129 overall |
Defensive | 34 #34 overall |
| 111 #120 overall |
SoS (Current) | 26 #26 overall |
| 120 #127 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 46 #46 overall |
Penn State#7596%
Buffalo#904%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Penn State 96%, Buffalo 4% at Penn State.
Penn State's win probability against Buffalo is trending down — from 98% to 93% over the last 6 weeks.
Penn State's win probability against Buffalo is trending down — from 98% to 95% over the last 6 weeks.
Penn State's win probability against Buffalo has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Penn State favored
Buffalo favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Buffalo | Neutral | At Penn State |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 1 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 2 | 98% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 3 | 98% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 7 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 8 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 9 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
RECORDS
Buffalo
Penn State
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
5-3 (62.5%) |
Overall |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Home |
2-2 (50%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-4 (33.3%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
1-4 (20%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Buffalo
Penn State
| #61 Toledo | Best Win | #114 Buffalo |
| #167 Florida Int'l | Worst Loss | #37 Michigan |
| 15 pts vs #61 Toledo | Largest MOV | 45 pts vs #134 Marshall |
| 42 pts vs #89 Penn State | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #22 Northwestern |
OTHER STATISTICS
Buffalo
Penn State
| 22.6 | Points per Game | 28.7 |
| 25.4 | Points Against | 18.9 |
| 25 | Home PPG | 35.8 |
| 21.4 | Home PA | 17 |
| 18.7 | Away PPG | 19.3 |
| 32 | Away PA | 21.3 |
| 32-30 | Opponent Record | 32-19 |
| 183.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 84.4 |
| W 3 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| W 3 | Current Streak | L 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Buffalo
Penn State
| Oct 24 | vs Bowling Green (2-6) | W31-24 | Oct 17 | at Michigan (4-3) | L18-21 |
| Oct 17 | vs Massachusetts (4-4) | W25-18 | Oct 10 | vs Southern Cal (6-2) | L23-31 |
| Oct 10 | at Toledo (6-2) | W23-8 | Oct 2 | at #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L13-34 |
| Oct 3 | vs Western Michigan (5-3) | L17-20 | Sep 26 | vs #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L20-24 |
| Sep 26 | vs Robert Morris (4-4) | W31-28 | Sep 19 | vs Buffalo (5-3) | W55-13 |
| Sep 19 | at Penn State (3-4) | L13-55 | Sep 12 | at Temple (2-5) | W27-9 |
| Sep 12 | at Florida Int'l (3-4) | L20-33 | Sep 5 | vs Marshall (4-3) | W45-0 |
| Sep 3 | vs Albany NY (5-3) | W21-17 |