Assumption at Pace Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Assumption by 2.77
TOTAL POINTS
53
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's D2 predictions
RATINGS
Pace
Assumption 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
81
B-
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
79
C+
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
82
B-
|
Defensive |
84
B
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
69
D+
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
67
D+
|
|
85
B
|
SoR (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
85
B
|
SoR (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
RANKINGS
Pace
Assumption
| 86 #453 overall |
Overall | 62 #383 overall |
| 74 #359 overall |
Power | 51 #320 overall |
| 84 #382 overall |
Offensive | 42 #310 overall |
| 71 #343 overall |
Defensive | 64 #333 overall |
| 151 #659 overall |
SoS (Current) | 125 #574 overall |
| 138 #638 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 133 #624 overall |
Assumption#6256%Pace#8644%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Assumption 56%, Pace 44% at Pace.
Assumption's win probability against Pace has swung between 46% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Assumption's win probability against Pace has swung between 52% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Assumption's win probability against Pace has swung between 59% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
Assumption favored
Pace favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Pace | Neutral | At Assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 88% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 1 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 2 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 4 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 5 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 6 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 7 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 9 | 56% | 63% | 68% |
RECORDS
Pace
Assumption
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
5-2 (71.4%) |
Overall |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Away |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-2 (60%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Pace
Assumption
| #532 Franklin Pierce | Best Win | #453 Pace |
| #383 Assumption | Worst Loss | #479 Frostburg St |
| 56 pts vs #706 Monroe | Largest MOV | 49 pts vs #736 St Anselm |
| 11 pts vs #154 East Stroudsburg | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #159 Kutztown |
OTHER STATISTICS
Pace
Assumption
| 30.7 | Points per Game | 33.6 |
| 17.9 | Points Against | 24.1 |
| 36.3 | Home PPG | 32.7 |
| 14.3 | Home PA | 36.7 |
| 23.3 | Away PPG | 34.3 |
| 22.7 | Away PA | 14.8 |
| 20-30 | Opponent Record | 28-24 |
| 549.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 508.9 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| W 4 | Current Streak | W 5 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Pace
Assumption
| Oct 24 | at Franklin Pierce (4-3) | W20-19 | Oct 22 | at St Anselm (0-7) | W56-7 |
| Oct 17 | vs American Int'l (3-5) | W16-14 | Oct 17 | at Southern Conn St (4-3) | W25-14 |
| Oct 3 | at Post (0-7) | W23-15 | Oct 3 | vs Bentley (4-3) | W29-27 |
| Sep 26 | vs St Anselm (0-7) | W44-3 | Sep 26 | at American Int'l (3-5) | W37-14 |
| Sep 19 | at Assumption (5-2) | L27-34 | Sep 19 | vs Pace (5-2) | W34-27 |
| Sep 12 | vs Monroe (1-5) | W59-3 | Sep 12 | at Frostburg St (4-4) | L19-24 |
| Sep 4 | vs East Stroudsburg (7-1) | L26-37 | Sep 3 | vs Kutztown (8-0) | L35-56 |