Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Northwestern 52%, Iowa 48% at Northwestern.
Northwestern's win probability against Iowa has swung between 33% and 57% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 40% now.
Northwestern's win probability against Iowa has swung between 39% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 46% now.
Northwestern's win probability against Iowa has swung between 45% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.