Penn State at Michigan Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Michigan by 1.67
TOTAL POINTS
44
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Penn State
Michigan 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
89
B+
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
86
B
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
90
A-
|
Defensive |
92
A-
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
84
B
|
SoR (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
RANKINGS
Penn State
Michigan
| 75 #89 overall |
Overall | 37 #37 overall |
| 37 #37 overall |
Power | 44 #44 overall |
| 46 #46 overall |
Offensive | 64 #64 overall |
| 34 #34 overall |
Defensive | 26 #26 overall |
| 26 #26 overall |
SoS (Current) | 21 #21 overall |
| 46 #46 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 20 #20 overall |
Michigan#3754%
Penn State#7546%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Michigan 54%, Penn State 46% at Michigan.
Michigan's win probability against Penn State is trending up — from 31% to 41% over the last 6 weeks.
Michigan's win probability against Penn State is trending up — from 37% to 48% over the last 6 weeks.
Michigan's win probability against Penn State is trending up — from 43% to 54% over the last 6 weeks.
Michigan favored
Penn State favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Penn State | Neutral | At Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 1 | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 2 | 24% | 29% | 34% |
| Wk 3 | 31% | 37% | 43% |
| Wk 4 | 28% | 34% | 40% |
| Wk 5 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 6 | 29% | 35% | 41% |
| Wk 7 | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 8 | 40% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 9 | 41% | 48% | 54% |
RECORDS
Penn State
Michigan
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
1-1 (50%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-3 (40%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Penn State
Michigan
| #114 Buffalo | Best Win | #19 Oklahoma |
| #37 Michigan | Worst Loss | #34 Minnesota |
| 45 pts vs #134 Marshall | Largest MOV | 35 pts vs #299 UTEP |
| 21 pts vs #22 Northwestern | Largest MOD | 7 pts vs #7 Indiana |
OTHER STATISTICS
Penn State
Michigan
| 28.7 | Points per Game | 20.3 |
| 18.9 | Points Against | 15.7 |
| 35.8 | Home PPG | 21.3 |
| 17 | Home PA | 15 |
| 19.3 | Away PPG | 14 |
| 21.3 | Away PA | 20 |
| 32-19 | Opponent Record | 30-21 |
| 84.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 78.1 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Penn State
Michigan
| Oct 17 | at Michigan (4-3) | L18-21 | Oct 24 | vs #7 Indiana (7-1) | L6-13 |
| Oct 10 | vs Southern Cal (6-2) | L23-31 | Oct 17 | vs Penn State (3-4) | W21-18 |
| Oct 2 | at #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L13-34 | Oct 3 | at Minnesota (5-2) | L14-20 |
| Sep 26 | vs #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L20-24 | Sep 26 | vs Iowa (5-2) | L19-20 |
| Sep 19 | vs Buffalo (5-3) | W55-13 | Sep 19 | vs UTEP (1-6) | W52-17 |
| Sep 12 | at Temple (2-5) | W27-9 | Sep 12 | vs #19 Oklahoma (4-3) | W17-10 |
| Sep 5 | vs Marshall (4-3) | W45-0 | Sep 5 | vs Western Michigan (5-3) | W13-12 |