Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Indiana 73%, Michigan 27% at Michigan.
Indiana's win probability against Michigan has swung between 62% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
Indiana's win probability against Michigan has swung between 68% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
Indiana's win probability against Michigan has swung between 73% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.