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College Football Game Simulator
Simulate Any Matchup
Prediction updated: Saturday, August 1, 2026
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CREATE YOUR MATCHUP
MI
Michigan St
Home · Big Ten · 4-8
Tap to change
VS
TO
Toledo
Away · Mid-American · 8-5
Tap to change
Advanced Options
Use neutral location
Randomize
Variance
0
Low (0)
Moderate
High (2)
Run Simulation
Select Team
TO
Toledo
Rockets
Mid-American
23
45
% win prob
Away
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
MI
Michigan St
Spartans
Big Ten
26
55
% win prob
Home
POINT SPREAD
Michigan St by 3.03
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Saturday, August 1, 2026
PRESEASON RATINGS
Toledo
Michigan St
23
Toledo
Simulated Score
26
Michigan St
74
C
Overall
79
C+
80
B-
Power
81
B-
78
C+
17.132
60
99
Offensive
80
C+
17.877
60
99
Toledo
60
99
Michigan St
60
99
83
B-
-7.058
60
99
Defensive
82
B-
-7.447
60
99
Toledo
60
99
Michigan St
60
99
61
D-
SoS (Current)
98
A+
61
D-
SoS (Future)
98
A+
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Toledo
Michigan St
102
Overall
75
67
Power
63
77
Offensive
70
56
Defensive
61
138
SoS (Current)
6
138
SoS (Future)
6
2025-2026 RECORDS
Toledo
Michigan St
0-0
(0%)
Head to Head
0-0
(0%)
8-5
(61.5%)
Overall
4-8
(33.3%)
6-0
(100%)
Home
4-3
(57.1%)
2-4
(33.3%)
Away
0-5
(0%)
0-0
(0%)
Versus FBS Top 25
0-4
(0%)
3-3
(50%)
Versus > .500 Teams
2-7
(22.2%)
5-2
(71.4%)
Versus < .500 Teams
2-1
(66.7%)
4-1
(80%)
Last 5 Games
1-4
(20%)
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Toledo
Michigan St
#93 Western Kentucky
Best Win
#56 Western Michigan
#251 Bowling Green
Worst Loss
#89 UCLA
60 pts vs #513 Morgan St
Largest MOV
17 pts vs #135 Youngstown St
21 pts vs #62 Washington St
Largest MOD
25 pts vs #1 Indiana
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Toledo
Michigan St
30.8
Points per Game
24.6
13.3
Points Against
29.9
45.8
Home PPG
26.7
7.7
Home PA
27.9
17.3
Away PPG
21.6
16.7
Away PA
32.8
79-85
Opponent Record
92-65
177.4
Avg Opponent Rank
64.5
W 4
Longest Streak
L 8
L 1
Current Streak
W 1
RECENT OPPONENTS
Toledo
Michigan St
Dec 23
Louisville (9-4)
L 22-27
Nov 29
vs
Maryland (4-8)
W 38-28
Nov 29
at
Central Michigan (7-6)
W 21-3
Nov 22
at (15)
Iowa (9-4)
L 17-20
Nov 22
vs
Ball St (4-8)
W 38-9
Nov 15
vs
Penn State (7-6)
L 10-28
Nov 12
at
Miami OH (7-7)
W 24-3
Nov 1
at
Minnesota (8-5)
L 20-23
Nov 5
vs
Northern Illinois (3-9)
W 42-3
Oct 25
vs (20)
Michigan (9-4)
L 20-31
Oct 25
at
Washington St (7-6)
L 7-28
Oct 18
at (1)
Indiana (16-0)
L 13-38
Oct 18
vs
Kent St (5-7)
W 45-10
Oct 11
vs
UCLA (3-9)
L 13-38
Oct 11
at
Bowling Green (4-8)
L 23-28
Oct 4
at
Nebraska (7-6)
L 27-38
Sep 27
vs
Akron (5-7)
W 45-3
Sep 20
at (17)
Southern Cal (9-4)
L 31-45
Sep 20
at
Western Michigan (10-4)
L 13-14
Sep 13
vs
Youngstown St (8-5)
W 41-24
Sep 13
vs
Morgan St (4-8)
W 60-0
Sep 6
vs
Boston College (2-10)
W 42-40
Sep 6
vs
Western Kentucky (9-4)
W 45-21
Aug 29
vs
Western Michigan (10-4)
W 23-6
Aug 30
at
Kentucky (5-7)
L 16-24
✕
vs
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