Toledo at Michigan St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Michigan St by 11.98
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Michigan St
Toledo 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
85
B
|
Power |
78
C+
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
80
B-
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
74
C
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
67
D+
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
78
C+
|
RANKINGS
Michigan St
Toledo
| 81 #98 overall |
Overall | 57 #61 overall |
| 50 #50 overall |
Power | 75 #75 overall |
| 62 #62 overall |
Offensive | 66 #66 overall |
| 39 #39 overall |
Defensive | 88 #89 overall |
| 4 #4 overall |
SoS (Current) | 92 #93 overall |
| 10 #10 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 115 #118 overall |
Michigan St#8176%
Toledo#5724%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Michigan St 76%, Toledo 24% at Michigan St.
Michigan St's win probability against Toledo is trending up — from 53% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.
Michigan St's win probability against Toledo is trending up — from 60% to 71% over the last 6 weeks.
Michigan St's win probability against Toledo is trending up — from 66% to 76% over the last 6 weeks.
Michigan St favored
Toledo favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Toledo | Neutral | At Michigan St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 1 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 2 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 3 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 5 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 6 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 7 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 8 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 9 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
RECORDS
Michigan St
Toledo
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
6-2 (75%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Michigan St
Toledo
| #61 Toledo | Best Win | #67 Western Michigan |
| #40 Illinois | Worst Loss | #114 Buffalo |
| 28 pts vs #188 Eastern Michigan | Largest MOV | 53 pts vs #232 Central Conn St |
| 28 pts vs #25 Wisconsin | Largest MOD | 15 pts vs #114 Buffalo |
OTHER STATISTICS
Michigan St
Toledo
| 19.9 | Points per Game | 37.4 |
| 25.8 | Points Against | 25.4 |
| 27.2 | Home PPG | 41.2 |
| 24 | Home PA | 27 |
| 7.7 | Away PPG | 31 |
| 28.7 | Away PA | 22.7 |
| 43-16 | Opponent Record | 28-35 |
| 48 | Avg Opponent Rank | 148.3 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Michigan St
Toledo
| Oct 24 | at #2 UCLA (7-0) | L10-28 | Oct 24 | vs Western Michigan (5-3) | W45-38 |
| Oct 17 | vs #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L21-24 | Oct 17 | at Eastern Michigan (4-5) | W34-14 |
| Oct 10 | vs Illinois (4-3) | L37-38 | Oct 10 | vs Buffalo (5-3) | L8-23 |
| Oct 3 | at #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L3-31 | Oct 3 | at Ball St (3-5) | W39-24 |
| Sep 26 | vs Nebraska (5-2) | L13-31 | Sep 26 | vs San Diego St (3-5) | W41-16 |
| Sep 19 | at #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L10-27 | Sep 19 | vs Temple (2-5) | W49-48 |
| Sep 12 | vs Eastern Michigan (4-5) | W35-7 | Sep 12 | vs Central Conn St (4-3) | W63-10 |
| Sep 4 | vs Toledo (6-2) | W30-20 | Sep 4 | at Michigan St (2-6) | L20-30 |