Northwestern at Michigan St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Northwestern by 8.94
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Michigan St
Northwestern 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
85
B
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
93
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
94
A
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
94
A
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
95
A
|
RANKINGS
Michigan St
Northwestern
| 81 #98 overall |
Overall | 22 #22 overall |
| 50 #50 overall |
Power | 19 #19 overall |
| 62 #62 overall |
Offensive | 23 #23 overall |
| 39 #39 overall |
Defensive | 18 #18 overall |
| 4 #4 overall |
SoS (Current) | 44 #44 overall |
| 10 #10 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 22 #22 overall |
Northwestern#2270%
Michigan St#8130%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Northwestern 70%, Michigan St 30% at Michigan St.
Northwestern's win probability against Michigan St is trending up — from 41% to 70% over the last 6 weeks.
Northwestern's win probability against Michigan St is trending up — from 47% to 75% over the last 6 weeks.
Northwestern's win probability against Michigan St is trending up — from 54% to 80% over the last 6 weeks.
Northwestern favored
Michigan St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Michigan St | Neutral | At Northwestern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 1 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 2 | 47% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 3 | 41% | 47% | 54% |
| Wk 4 | 59% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 5 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 6 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 7 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 8 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 9 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
RECORDS
Michigan St
Northwestern
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Home |
5-0 (100%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-0 (100%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Michigan St
Northwestern
| #61 Toledo | Best Win | #89 Penn State |
| #40 Illinois | Worst Loss | #7 Indiana |
| 28 pts vs #188 Eastern Michigan | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #113 Colorado |
| 28 pts vs #25 Wisconsin | Largest MOD | 6 pts vs #7 Indiana |
OTHER STATISTICS
Michigan St
Northwestern
| 19.9 | Points per Game | 34.7 |
| 25.8 | Points Against | 16.6 |
| 27.2 | Home PPG | 39.2 |
| 24 | Home PA | 13.2 |
| 7.7 | Away PPG | 23.5 |
| 28.7 | Away PA | 25 |
| 43-16 | Opponent Record | 25-28 |
| 48 | Avg Opponent Rank | 103.6 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Michigan St
Northwestern
| Oct 24 | at #2 UCLA (7-0) | L10-28 | Oct 24 | vs Rutgers (2-5) | W42-14 |
| Oct 17 | vs #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L21-24 | Oct 17 | at Michigan St (2-6) | W24-21 |
| Oct 10 | vs Illinois (4-3) | L37-38 | Oct 10 | vs Ball St (3-5) | W45-14 |
| Oct 3 | at #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L3-31 | Oct 2 | vs Penn State (3-4) | W34-13 |
| Sep 26 | vs Nebraska (5-2) | L13-31 | Sep 25 | at #7 Indiana (7-1) | L23-29 |
| Sep 19 | at #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L10-27 | Sep 19 | vs Colorado (2-5) | W41-7 |
| Sep 12 | vs Eastern Michigan (4-5) | W35-7 | Sep 5 | vs South Dakota St (6-2) | W34-18 |
| Sep 4 | vs Toledo (6-2) | W30-20 |