Illinois at Michigan St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Illinois by 1.01
TOTAL POINTS
51
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Michigan St
Illinois 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
85
B
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
88
B+
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
86
B
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
94
A
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
RANKINGS
Michigan St
Illinois
| 81 #98 overall |
Overall | 39 #40 overall |
| 50 #50 overall |
Power | 39 #39 overall |
| 62 #62 overall |
Offensive | 39 #39 overall |
| 39 #39 overall |
Defensive | 45 #45 overall |
| 4 #4 overall |
SoS (Current) | 17 #17 overall |
| 10 #10 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 19 #19 overall |
Illinois#3952%
Michigan St#8148%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Illinois 52%, Michigan St 48% at Michigan St.
Illinois' win probability against Michigan St is trending up — from 43% to 52% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois' win probability against Michigan St is trending up — from 49% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois' win probability against Michigan St is trending up — from 55% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois favored
Michigan St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Michigan St | Neutral | At Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 1 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 2 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 3 | 43% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 4 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 5 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 6 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 7 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 8 | 44% | 50% | 57% |
| Wk 9 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
RECORDS
Michigan St
Illinois
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Home |
3-2 (60%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Michigan St
Illinois
| #61 Toledo | Best Win | #31 Oregon |
| #40 Illinois | Worst Loss | #51 Duke |
| 28 pts vs #188 Eastern Michigan | Largest MOV | 38 pts vs #180 Southern Illinois |
| 28 pts vs #25 Wisconsin | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #6 Ohio State |
OTHER STATISTICS
Michigan St
Illinois
| 19.9 | Points per Game | 30.3 |
| 25.8 | Points Against | 25.3 |
| 27.2 | Home PPG | 31 |
| 24 | Home PA | 19.6 |
| 7.7 | Away PPG | 28.5 |
| 28.7 | Away PA | 39.5 |
| 43-16 | Opponent Record | 28-24 |
| 48 | Avg Opponent Rank | 76.7 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Michigan St
Illinois
| Oct 24 | at #2 UCLA (7-0) | L10-28 | Oct 24 | vs Oregon (4-3) | W21-10 |
| Oct 17 | vs #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L21-24 | Oct 10 | at Michigan St (2-6) | W38-37 |
| Oct 10 | vs Illinois (4-3) | L37-38 | Oct 3 | vs Purdue (3-4) | L17-24 |
| Oct 3 | at #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L3-31 | Sep 26 | at #6 Ohio State (6-1) | L19-42 |
| Sep 26 | vs Nebraska (5-2) | L13-31 | Sep 19 | vs Southern Illinois (4-5) | W48-10 |
| Sep 19 | at #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L10-27 | Sep 12 | vs Duke (5-2) | L27-31 |
| Sep 12 | vs Eastern Michigan (4-5) | W35-7 | Sep 3 | vs Alabama-Birmingham (4-3) | W42-23 |
| Sep 4 | vs Toledo (6-2) | W30-20 |