Illinois at Michigan St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Michigan St by 3.14
TOTAL POINTS
53
UPDATED
Sunday, September 13, 2026
RATINGS
Michigan St
Illinois 
|
85
B
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
85
B
|
Power |
85
B
|
|
84
B
|
Offensive |
85
B
|
|
86
B
|
Defensive |
83
B-
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Future) |
95
A
|
RANKINGS
Michigan St
Illinois
| 49 #51 overall |
Overall | 37 #38 overall |
| 50 #50 overall |
Power | 51 #51 overall |
| 55 #55 overall |
Offensive | 50 #50 overall |
| 47 #47 overall |
Defensive | 57 #57 overall |
| 76 #100 overall |
SoS (Current) | 26 #28 overall |
| 20 #20 overall |
SoS (Future) | 16 #16 overall |
Michigan St#4957%
Illinois#3743%Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Michigan St 57%, Illinois 43% at Michigan St.
Michigan St's win probability against Illinois is trending up — from 21% to 45% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan St's win probability against Illinois is trending up — from 26% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan St's win probability against Illinois is trending up — from 31% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan St favored
Illinois favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Illinois | Neutral | At Michigan St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 22% | 27% | 32% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 22% | 27% | 32% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 21% | 26% | 31% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 21% | 26% | 31% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 21% | 26% | 31% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 27% | 32% | 38% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 30% | 36% | 42% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
RECORDS
Michigan St
Illinois
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Overall |
1-1 (50%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Home |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Away |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Last 5 Games |
1-1 (50%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Michigan St
Illinois
| #121 Toledo | Best Win | #146 Alabama-Birmingham |
| None | Worst Loss | #15 Duke |
| 28 pts vs #206 Eastern Michigan | Largest MOV | 19 pts vs #146 Alabama-Birmingham |
| None | Largest MOD | 4 pts vs #15 Duke |
OTHER STATISTICS
Michigan St
Illinois
| 32.5 | Points per Game | 34.5 |
| 13.5 | Points Against | 27 |
| 32.5 | Home PPG | 34.5 |
| 13.5 | Home PA | 27 |
| 0 | Away PPG | 0 |
| 0 | Away PA | 0 |
| 2-3 | Opponent Record | 3-1 |
| 163.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 80.5 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 1 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Michigan St
Illinois
| Sep 12 | vs Eastern Michigan (1-2) | W35-7 | Sep 12 | vs #15 Duke (2-0) | L27-31 |
| Sep 4 | vs Toledo (1-1) | W30-20 | Sep 3 | vs Alabama-Birmingham (1-1) | W42-23 |
