East Tennessee St at Mercer Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mercer by 7.89
TOTAL POINTS
52
UPDATED
Sunday, November 15, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
East Tennessee St
Mercer 
|
87
B+
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
91
A-
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
91
A-
|
Offensive |
93
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
78
C+
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
|
89
B+
|
SoR (Current) |
96
A
|
|
88
B+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
RANKINGS
East Tennessee St
Mercer
| 40 #215 overall |
Overall | 11 #111 overall |
| 26 #165 overall |
Power | 19 #148 overall |
| 26 #164 overall |
Offensive | 22 #156 overall |
| 34 #171 overall |
Defensive | 11 #138 overall |
| 89 #256 overall |
SoS (Current) | 68 #223 overall |
| 75 #230 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 63 #214 overall |
Mercer#1168%
East Tennessee St#4032%Wk 12 (Nov 15), 2026-27: Mercer 68%, East Tennessee St 32% at Mercer.
Mercer's win probability against East Tennessee St is trending up — from 46% to 56% over the last 6 weeks.
Mercer's win probability against East Tennessee St is trending up — from 52% to 62% over the last 6 weeks.
Mercer's win probability against East Tennessee St is trending up — from 59% to 68% over the last 6 weeks.
Mercer favored
East Tennessee St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At East Tennessee St | Neutral | At Mercer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 1 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 2 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 3 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 4 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 5 | 43% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 6 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 7 | 44% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 8 | 43% | 49% | 56% |
| Wk 9 | 44% | 50% | 57% |
| Wk 10 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 11 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 12 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
RECORDS
East Tennessee St
Mercer
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
7-4 (63.6%) |
Overall |
9-2 (81.8%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Away |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
2-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
4-0 (100%) |
|
5-1 (83.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
East Tennessee St
Mercer
| #195 Western Carolina | Best Win | #107 Abilene Christian |
| #305 Samford | Worst Loss | #377 Furman |
| 38 pts vs #616 VMI | Largest MOV | 59 pts vs #467 Presbyterian |
| 32 pts vs #51 North Carolina | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #105 Georgia Tech |
OTHER STATISTICS
East Tennessee St
Mercer
| 30.8 | Points per Game | 29.5 |
| 23 | Points Against | 17.6 |
| 34.9 | Home PPG | 28.6 |
| 26.4 | Home PA | 14.2 |
| 23.8 | Away PPG | 30.3 |
| 17 | Away PA | 20.5 |
| 52-68 | Opponent Record | 48-71 |
| 321.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 298.4 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 7 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
East Tennessee St
Mercer
| Nov 14 | at Wofford (5-6) | W20-17 | Nov 14 | at Tennessee Tech (9-2) | W38-31 |
| Nov 7 | vs Samford (4-7) | L35-37 | Nov 7 | at Chattanooga (7-4) | W14-7 |
| Oct 31 | vs Tennessee Tech (9-2) | L17-24 | Oct 31 | vs The Citadel (3-8) | W28-19 |
| Oct 24 | at VMI (0-11) | W38-0 | Oct 17 | at Samford (4-7) | W31-21 |
| Oct 10 | at The Citadel (3-8) | W34-16 | Oct 10 | vs Western Carolina (6-5) | W17-14 |
| Oct 3 | vs Chattanooga (7-4) | W14-3 | Oct 3 | at VMI (0-11) | W54-3 |
| Sep 26 | vs Western Carolina (6-5) | W58-31 | Sep 26 | at Abilene Christian (6-5) | W34-17 |
| Sep 19 | vs West Georgia (1-10) | W35-27 | Sep 19 | at Georgia Tech (3-7) | L11-44 |
| Sep 12 | at North Carolina (5-5) | L3-35 | Sep 12 | vs Furman (3-8) | L13-20 |
| Sep 5 | vs Tusculum (4-7) | W48-14 | Sep 5 | vs Presbyterian (4-6) | W62-3 |
| Aug 29 | vs Campbell (8-3) | L37-49 | Aug 29 | vs East Texas A&M (3-8) | W23-15 |