Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Gustavus Adolphus 93%, Macalester 7% at Macalester.
Gustavus Adolphus' win probability against Macalester has swung between 84% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 93% now.
Gustavus Adolphus' win probability against Macalester has swung between 88% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 95% now.
Gustavus Adolphus' win probability against Macalester has swung between 90% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 96% now.