Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Kutztown 93%, Lock Haven 7% at Lock Haven.
Kutztown's win probability against Lock Haven has swung between 89% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 93% now.
Kutztown's win probability against Lock Haven is trending down — from 97% to 94% over the last 6 weeks.
Kutztown's win probability against Lock Haven has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.