Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's FBS predictions →
Wk 12 (Nov 15), 2026-27: Iowa 64%, Illinois 36% at Illinois.
Iowa's win probability against Illinois has swung between 52% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Iowa's win probability against Illinois has swung between 58% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Iowa's win probability against Illinois has swung between 64% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.