Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Gustavus Adolphus 98%, St Olaf 2% at Gustavus Adolphus.
Gustavus Adolphus' win probability against St Olaf has swung between 92% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 98% now.
Gustavus Adolphus' win probability against St Olaf has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.