Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Catawba 85%, Ferrum 15% at Ferrum.
Catawba's win probability against Ferrum has swung between 83% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 85% now.
Catawba's win probability against Ferrum is trending down — from 91% to 88% over the last 6 weeks.
Catawba's win probability against Ferrum has held at 91% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.