Fairmont St at Dayton Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 28.74
TOTAL POINTS
56
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Fairmont St
Dayton 
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
72
C-
|
Power |
69
D+
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
68
D+
|
Defensive |
70
C-
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Current) |
61
D-
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
RANKINGS
Fairmont StD2
DaytonFCS
| 132 #616 overall |
Overall | 33 #187 overall |
| 114 #428 overall |
Power | 99 #262 overall |
| 103 #413 overall |
Offensive | 100 #269 overall |
| 129 #461 overall |
Defensive | 96 #254 overall |
| 98 #477 overall |
SoS (Current) | 125 #413 overall |
| 95 #447 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 128 #446 overall |
DaytonFCS #3395%Fairmont StD2 #1325%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Dayton 95%, Fairmont St 5% at Dayton.
Dayton's win probability against Fairmont St has swung between 76% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 91% now.
Dayton's win probability against Fairmont St has swung between 81% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 93% now.
Dayton's win probability against Fairmont St has swung between 85% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 95% now.
Dayton favored
Fairmont St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Fairmont St | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 84% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 1 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 2 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 3 | 86% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 5 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 6 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 7 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 8 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 9 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
RECORDS
Fairmont St
Dayton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Fairmont St
Dayton
| #584 West Virginia St | Best Win | #175 Butler |
| #624 WV Wesleyan | Worst Loss | #458 Drake |
| 23 pts vs #584 West Virginia St | Largest MOV | 28 pts vs #572 Morehead St |
| 23 pts vs #187 Dayton | Largest MOD | 8 pts vs #458 Drake |
OTHER STATISTICS
Fairmont St
Dayton
| 26.4 | Points per Game | 32 |
| 33.9 | Points Against | 20 |
| 28.3 | Home PPG | 41.5 |
| 25.7 | Home PA | 21.8 |
| 25.2 | Away PPG | 19.3 |
| 38.8 | Away PA | 17.7 |
| 34-30 | Opponent Record | 20-36 |
| 456.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 421.1 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Fairmont St
Dayton
| Oct 24 | at Charleston WV (4-4) | L49-52 | Oct 24 | vs San Diego (3-5) | W37-32 |
| Oct 10 | at WV Wesleyan (3-6) | L16-34 | Oct 17 | at Butler (6-2) | W19-9 |
| Oct 3 | vs Glenville St (1-7) | W31-24 | Oct 10 | vs Morehead St (2-6) | W56-28 |
| Sep 26 | vs West Virginia St (3-5) | W41-18 | Oct 3 | at Drake (2-6) | L22-30 |
| Sep 19 | at Wheeling U. (4-4) | L24-28 | Sep 19 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-5) | W17-14 |
| Sep 12 | at Findlay (7-1) | L17-37 | Sep 12 | vs Thomas More (2-6) | W30-7 |
| Sep 3 | vs Bloomsburg (6-2) | L13-35 | Aug 29 | vs Fairmont St (2-6) | W43-20 |
| Aug 29 | at Dayton (6-1) | L20-43 |