Davidson at Dayton Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 31.71
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Davidson
Dayton 
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
60
D-
|
Power |
69
D+
|
|
60
D-
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
60
D-
|
Defensive |
70
C-
|
|
60
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
61
D-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
61
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
RANKINGS
Davidson
Dayton
| 117 #521 overall |
Overall | 33 #187 overall |
| 128 #452 overall |
Power | 99 #262 overall |
| 128 #436 overall |
Offensive | 100 #269 overall |
| 127 #473 overall |
Defensive | 96 #254 overall |
| 127 #456 overall |
SoS (Current) | 125 #413 overall |
| 125 #383 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 128 #446 overall |
Dayton#3396%
Davidson#1174%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Dayton 96%, Davidson 4% at Dayton.
Dayton's win probability against Davidson is trending up — from 85% to 93% over the last 6 weeks.
Dayton's win probability against Davidson is trending up — from 88% to 95% over the last 6 weeks.
Dayton's win probability against Davidson is trending up — from 91% to 96% over the last 6 weeks.
Dayton favored
Davidson favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Davidson | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 1 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 2 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 3 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 84% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 5 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 6 | 90% | 93% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 8 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 9 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
RECORDS
Davidson
Dayton
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Davidson
Dayton
| #352 Dickinson | Best Win | #175 Butler |
| #458 Drake | Worst Loss | #458 Drake |
| 14 pts vs #352 Dickinson | Largest MOV | 28 pts vs #572 Morehead St |
| 49 pts vs #328 San Diego | Largest MOD | 8 pts vs #458 Drake |
OTHER STATISTICS
Davidson
Dayton
| 23.9 | Points per Game | 32 |
| 37.5 | Points Against | 20 |
| 26 | Home PPG | 41.5 |
| 33.2 | Home PA | 21.8 |
| 17.5 | Away PPG | 19.3 |
| 50.5 | Away PA | 17.7 |
| 26-37 | Opponent Record | 20-36 |
| 447.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 421.1 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Davidson
Dayton
| Oct 17 | vs Morehead St (2-6) | W34-31 | Oct 24 | vs San Diego (3-5) | W37-32 |
| Oct 10 | at Presbyterian (4-4) | L21-38 | Oct 17 | at Butler (6-2) | W19-9 |
| Oct 3 | at San Diego (3-5) | L14-63 | Oct 10 | vs Morehead St (2-6) | W56-28 |
| Sep 26 | vs Drake (2-6) | L32-51 | Oct 3 | at Drake (2-6) | L22-30 |
| Sep 19 | vs VMI (0-8) | W27-24 | Sep 19 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-5) | W17-14 |
| Sep 12 | vs Dickinson (5-2) | W28-14 | Sep 12 | vs Thomas More (2-6) | W30-7 |
| Sep 5 | vs Elon (4-4) | L0-38 | Aug 29 | vs Fairmont St (2-6) | W43-20 |
| Aug 27 | vs Concord (6-2) | L35-41 |