Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Carson-Newman 74%, Mars Hill 26% at Carson-Newman.
Carson-Newman's win probability against Mars Hill has swung between 43% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Carson-Newman's win probability against Mars Hill has swung between 50% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Carson-Newman's win probability against Mars Hill has swung between 56% and 74% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.