Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Gustavus Adolphus 91%, Carleton 9% at Carleton.
Gustavus Adolphus' win probability against Carleton has swung between 66% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 91% now.
Gustavus Adolphus' win probability against Carleton has swung between 72% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 93% now.
Gustavus Adolphus' win probability against Carleton has swung between 77% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 95% now.