Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Bowling Green 56%, Ball St 44% at Bowling Green.
Bowling Green's win probability against Ball St has swung between 34% and 48% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 43% now.
Bowling Green's win probability against Ball St has swung between 40% and 55% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
Bowling Green's win probability against Ball St has swung between 46% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.