Toledo at Ball St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Toledo by 16.76
TOTAL POINTS
61
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Ball St
Toledo 
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
78
C+
|
|
65
D
|
Offensive |
80
B-
|
|
62
D-
|
Defensive |
74
C
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
74
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
67
D+
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
63
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
78
C+
|
RANKINGS
Ball St
Toledo
| 105 #156 overall |
Overall | 57 #61 overall |
| 129 #142 overall |
Power | 75 #75 overall |
| 121 #135 overall |
Offensive | 66 #66 overall |
| 131 #152 overall |
Defensive | 88 #89 overall |
| 94 #95 overall |
SoS (Current) | 92 #93 overall |
| 89 #89 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 115 #118 overall |
Toledo#5784%
Ball St#10516%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Toledo 84%, Ball St 16% at Ball St.
Toledo's win probability against Ball St has swung between 80% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 84% now.
Toledo's win probability against Ball St has swung between 84% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 87% now.
Toledo's win probability against Ball St has swung between 87% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
Toledo favored
Ball St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Ball St | Neutral | At Toledo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 1 | 80% | 84% | 88% |
| Wk 2 | 84% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 5 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 6 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 7 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 8 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 9 | 84% | 87% | 90% |
RECORDS
Ball St
Toledo
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
6-2 (75%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Ball St
Toledo
| #219 Bowling Green | Best Win | #67 Western Michigan |
| #142 Kent St | Worst Loss | #114 Buffalo |
| 24 pts vs #233 Stony Brook | Largest MOV | 53 pts vs #232 Central Conn St |
| 53 pts vs #6 Ohio State | Largest MOD | 15 pts vs #114 Buffalo |
OTHER STATISTICS
Ball St
Toledo
| 22 | Points per Game | 37.4 |
| 35.3 | Points Against | 25.4 |
| 33 | Home PPG | 41.2 |
| 24.3 | Home PA | 27 |
| 15.4 | Away PPG | 31 |
| 41.8 | Away PA | 22.7 |
| 35-26 | Opponent Record | 28-35 |
| 149.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 148.3 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Ball St
Toledo
| Oct 24 | vs Sacramento St (1-7) | W34-17 | Oct 24 | vs Western Michigan (5-3) | W45-38 |
| Oct 17 | at Bowling Green (2-6) | W32-31 | Oct 17 | at Eastern Michigan (4-5) | W34-14 |
| Oct 10 | at #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L14-45 | Oct 10 | vs Buffalo (5-3) | L8-23 |
| Oct 3 | vs Toledo (6-2) | L24-39 | Oct 3 | at Ball St (3-5) | W39-24 |
| Sep 26 | at Kent St (3-5) | L13-26 | Sep 26 | vs San Diego St (3-5) | W41-16 |
| Sep 19 | at Liberty (6-1) | L15-51 | Sep 19 | vs Temple (2-5) | W49-48 |
| Sep 12 | vs Stony Brook (5-3) | W41-17 | Sep 12 | vs Central Conn St (4-3) | W63-10 |
| Sep 5 | at #6 Ohio State (6-1) | L3-56 | Sep 4 | at Michigan St (2-6) | L20-30 |