Louisville at Virginia Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Virginia by 1.27
TOTAL POINTS
153
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Louisville
Virginia 
|
97
A+
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
95
A
|
Defensive |
97
A+
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Louisville
Virginia
| 24 | Overall | 12 |
| 14 | Power | 18 |
| 11 | Offensive | 39 |
| 36 | Defensive | 22 |
| 41 | SoS (Current) | 66 |
| 41 | SoS (Full Season) | 66 |
Virginia#1254%
Louisville#2446%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Virginia 54%, Louisville 46% at Virginia.
Virginia's win probability against Louisville is trending up — from 34% to 39% over the last 6 updates.
Virginia's win probability against Louisville is trending up — from 41% to 46% over the last 6 updates.
Virginia's win probability against Louisville is trending up — from 48% to 54% over the last 6 updates.
Virginia favored
Louisville favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Louisville | Neutral | At Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 31% | 38% | 45% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 34% | 42% | 49% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 34% | 41% | 48% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 39% | 46% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 38% | 46% | 53% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 38% | 45% | 53% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 38% | 46% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 38% | 46% | 53% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 39% | 46% | 54% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Louisville
Virginia
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
24-11 (68.6%) |
Overall |
30-6 (83.3%) |
|
15-2 (88.2%) |
Home |
16-1 (94.1%) |
|
4-7 (36.4%) |
Away |
8-2 (80%) |
|
0-7 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-4 (0%) |
|
12-11 (52.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
18-6 (75%) |
|
12-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Louisville
Virginia
| #31 Miami FL | Best Win | #27 Louisville |
| #63 Stanford | Worst Loss | #85 Butler |
| 59 pts vs #346 S Carolina St | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #274 American Univ |
| 31 pts vs #3 Duke | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #3 Duke |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Louisville
Virginia
| 84.3 | Points per Game | 80.4 |
| 72.5 | Points Against | 68.8 |
| 90.9 | Home PPG | 83.3 |
| 67.5 | Home PA | 64.1 |
| 79.5 | Away PPG | 77.9 |
| 80.5 | Away PA | 72.9 |
| 684-486 | Opponent Record | 667-527 |
| 96.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 106.5 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Louisville
Virginia
| Mar 21 | #9 Michigan St (27-8) | L69-77 | Mar 22 | #19 Tennessee (25-12) | L72-79 |
| Mar 19 | South Florida (24-9) | W83-79 | Mar 20 | Wright St (21-12) | W82-73 |
| Mar 12 | Miami FL (26-9) | L73-78 | Mar 14 | #3 Duke (35-3) | L70-74 |
| Mar 11 | SMU (20-14) | W62-58 | Mar 13 | Miami FL (26-9) | W84-62 |
| Mar 7 | at Miami FL (26-9) | W92-89 | Mar 12 | NC State (20-14) | W81-74 |
| Mar 3 | vs Syracuse (15-17) | W77-62 | Mar 7 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W76-72 |
| Feb 28 | at Clemson (24-11) | L75-80 | Mar 3 | vs Wake Forest (18-17) | W75-70 |
| Feb 23 | at #23 North Carolina (24-9) | L74-77 | Feb 28 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L51-77 |
| Feb 21 | vs Georgia Tech (11-20) | W87-70 | Feb 24 | vs NC State (20-14) | W90-61 |
| Feb 17 | at SMU (20-14) | L85-95 | Feb 21 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | W86-83 |