Southern Miss vs Valparaiso Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Valparaiso by 3.64
TOTAL POINTS
145
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Southern Miss
Valparaiso 
|
79
C+
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
74
C
|
|
75
C
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
84
B
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Southern Miss
Valparaiso
| 185 | Overall | 154 |
| 221 | Power | 155 |
| 218 | Offensive | 231 |
| 228 | Defensive | 113 |
| 193 | SoS (Current) | 140 |
| 193 | SoS (Full Season) | 140 |
Valparaiso#15461%
Southern Miss#18539%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Valparaiso 61%, Southern Miss 39% at a neutral site.
Valparaiso's win probability against Southern Miss is trending down — from 58% to 53% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso's win probability against Southern Miss is trending down — from 65% to 61% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso's win probability against Southern Miss is trending down — from 72% to 68% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso favored
Southern Miss favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Southern Miss | Neutral | At Valparaiso |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 62% | 69% | 76% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 72% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 72% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 72% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 57% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 57% | 65% | 71% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 53% | 61% | 68% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Southern Miss
Valparaiso
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
17-16 (51.5%) |
Overall |
17-15 (53.1%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Home |
12-4 (75%) |
|
4-11 (26.7%) |
Away |
4-10 (28.6%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
9-11 (45%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-10 (33.3%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-5 (70.6%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Southern Miss
Valparaiso
| #101 Kent | Best Win | #94 Illinois St |
| #311 Georgia St | Worst Loss | #357 Southern Indiana |
| 14 pts vs #359 ULM | Largest MOV | 29 pts vs #281 W Michigan |
| 28 pts vs #96 LSU | Largest MOD | 48 pts vs #33 Kentucky |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Southern Miss
Valparaiso
| 73.9 | Points per Game | 71.2 |
| 74.8 | Points Against | 71.9 |
| 72.8 | Home PPG | 70.8 |
| 69.7 | Home PA | 65.6 |
| 72.5 | Away PPG | 71.3 |
| 78.7 | Away PA | 78.5 |
| 501-528 | Opponent Record | 489-533 |
| 197.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 180 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Southern Miss
Valparaiso
| Mar 8 | Troy (20-12) | L70-78 | Mar 6 | Bradley (20-13) | L84-90 |
| Mar 7 | Appalachian St (17-13) | W86-73 | Mar 5 | Indiana St (9-21) | W63-62 |
| Mar 6 | Texas St (17-13) | W81-77 | Feb 28 | at Evansville (5-25) | L79-80 |
| Mar 5 | James Madison (17-15) | W86-80 | Feb 25 | vs Drake (12-20) | W74-71 |
| Feb 27 | at South Alabama (19-12) | W68-55 | Feb 21 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | W71-67 |
| Feb 24 | at Arkansas St (18-12) | L84-89 | Feb 18 | vs Bradley (20-13) | W79-72 |
| Feb 21 | vs Old Dominion (11-21) | W86-81 | Feb 15 | vs Indiana St (9-21) | W76-75 |
| Feb 14 | vs Troy (20-12) | W69-65 | Feb 12 | at Illinois St (22-13) | L64-86 |
| Feb 12 | vs South Alabama (19-12) | L78-84 | Feb 9 | at Drake (12-20) | W81-76 |
| Feb 7 | vs Kent (22-10) | W66-65 | Feb 6 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W70-63 |