Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: VCU 55%, Providence 45% at a neutral site.
VCU's win probability against Providence has held at 48% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
VCU's win probability against Providence has held at 55% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
VCU's win probability against Providence is trending down — from 64% to 61% over the last 6 updates.