Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Michigan 62%, USC 38% at USC.
Michigan's win probability against USC is trending down — from 93% to 62% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against USC is trending down — from 95% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against USC is trending down — from 97% to 75% over the last 6 updates.