Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: UNC Wilmington 57%, St Thomas MN 43% at UNC Wilmington.
UNC Wilmington's win probability against St Thomas MN has held at 42% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UNC Wilmington's win probability against St Thomas MN has held at 49% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UNC Wilmington's win probability against St Thomas MN has held at 57% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.