Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Texas 87%, Memphis 13% at Texas.
Texas' win probability against Memphis has held at 77% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Texas' win probability against Memphis has held at 82% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Texas' win probability against Memphis has held at 87% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.