TX Southern at Texas St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas St by 9.98
TOTAL POINTS
148
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
TX Southern
Texas St 
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
72
C-
|
|
71
C-
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
63
D-
|
Defensive |
78
C+
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
72
C-
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Future) |
72
C-
|
RANKINGS
TX Southern
Texas St
| 294 | Overall | 188 |
| 330 | Power | 251 |
| 267 | Offensive | 280 |
| 339 | Defensive | 199 |
| 285 | SoS (Current) | 251 |
| 285 | SoS (Future) | 251 |
Texas St#18880%
TX Southern#29420%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Texas St 80%, TX Southern 20% at Texas St.
Texas St's win probability against TX Southern is trending up — from 60% to 63% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas St's win probability against TX Southern has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Texas St's win probability against TX Southern has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Texas St favored
TX Southern favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At TX Southern | Neutral | At Texas St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 69% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 1 | 60% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 2 | 69% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 3 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 4 | 65% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 5 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 6 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 7 | 56% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 8 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 9 | 60% | 69% | 78% |
| Wk 10 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 11 | 66% | 74% | 82% |
| Wk 12 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 13 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 14 | 56% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 15 | 60% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 16 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 17 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 18 | 60% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 19 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 20 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 21 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 22 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 23 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 24 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
RECORDS
TX Southern
Texas St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
10-18 (35.7%) |
Overall |
17-13 (56.7%) |
|
7-5 (58.3%) |
Home |
14-1 (93.3%) |
|
3-12 (20%) |
Away |
3-9 (25%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-10 (41.2%) |
|
9-9 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-3 (76.9%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
TX Southern
Texas St
| #244 Southern Univ | Best Win | #125 Troy |
| #364 MS Valley St | Worst Loss | #280 Louisiana |
| 33 pts vs #364 MS Valley St | Largest MOV | 17 pts vs #261 Old Dominion |
| 55 pts vs #16 Gonzaga | Largest MOD | 35 pts vs #194 Bowling Green |
OTHER STATISTICS
TX Southern
Texas St
| 73.9 | Points per Game | 71.9 |
| 80 | Points Against | 72.5 |
| 79.3 | Home PPG | 73.3 |
| 73.3 | Home PA | 66.3 |
| 69.5 | Away PPG | 71.3 |
| 85 | Away PA | 79.6 |
| 396-492 | Opponent Record | 426-508 |
| 227.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 216.1 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
TX Southern
Texas St
| Mar 12 | Alabama A&M (15-15) | L74-85 | Mar 6 | Southern Miss (17-16) | L77-81 |
| Mar 5 | vs Prairie View (15-18) | L59-70 | Feb 27 | vs Appalachian St (17-13) | W60-57 |
| Feb 28 | vs Jackson St (12-21) | W82-57 | Feb 21 | at Louisiana (11-22) | L54-67 |
| Feb 26 | vs Alcorn St (9-23) | W92-87 | Feb 19 | at South Alabama (19-12) | W90-82 |
| Feb 21 | at MS Valley St (2-30) | L71-72 | Feb 14 | vs ULM (2-28) | W95-84 |
| Feb 19 | at Ark Pine Bluff (11-19) | W83-64 | Feb 11 | vs Troy (20-12) | W74-62 |
| Feb 16 | vs Southern Univ (14-17) | W74-73 | Feb 7 | vs W Michigan (9-20) | W77-61 |
| Feb 14 | vs Grambling (12-19) | W82-79 | Feb 4 | at Ga Southern (19-16) | W77-71 |
| Feb 9 | at Bethune-Cookman (16-15) | L69-79 | Jan 31 | vs Old Dominion (11-21) | W81-64 |
| Feb 7 | at Florida A&M (13-16) | W62-57 | Jan 28 | vs Marshall (18-13) | W72-68 |
