Southern Univ at Texas St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas St by 6.92
TOTAL POINTS
151
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Southern Univ
Texas St 
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
67
D+
|
Power |
72
C-
|
|
77
C+
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
63
D-
|
Defensive |
78
C+
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
72
C-
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
72
C-
|
RANKINGS
Southern Univ
Texas St
| 244 | Overall | 188 |
| 299 | Power | 251 |
| 208 | Offensive | 280 |
| 337 | Defensive | 199 |
| 275 | SoS (Current) | 251 |
| 275 | SoS (Future) | 251 |
Texas St#18872%
Southern Univ#24428%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Texas St 72%, Southern Univ 28% at Texas St.
Texas St's win probability against Southern Univ has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Texas St's win probability against Southern Univ has held at 63% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Texas St's win probability against Southern Univ has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Texas St favored
Southern Univ favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Southern Univ | Neutral | At Texas St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 1 | 29% | 38% | 48% |
| Wk 2 | 43% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 3 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 4 | 45% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 5 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 6 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 7 | 42% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 8 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 9 | 45% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 10 | 40% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 11 | 47% | 57% | 67% |
| Wk 12 | 41% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 13 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 14 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 15 | 49% | 59% | 69% |
| Wk 16 | 53% | 62% | 72% |
| Wk 17 | 51% | 60% | 70% |
| Wk 18 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 19 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 20 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 21 | 53% | 62% | 72% |
| Wk 22 | 53% | 62% | 72% |
| Wk 23 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 24 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
RECORDS
Southern Univ
Texas St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
14-17 (45.2%) |
Overall |
17-13 (56.7%) |
|
5-4 (55.6%) |
Home |
14-1 (93.3%) |
|
7-12 (36.8%) |
Away |
3-9 (25%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-6 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-10 (41.2%) |
|
11-11 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-3 (76.9%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Southern Univ
Texas St
| #211 Bethune-Cookman | Best Win | #125 Troy |
| #320 Alcorn St | Worst Loss | #280 Louisiana |
| 18 pts vs #301 Grambling | Largest MOV | 17 pts vs #261 Old Dominion |
| 44 pts vs #67 Baylor | Largest MOD | 35 pts vs #194 Bowling Green |
OTHER STATISTICS
Southern Univ
Texas St
| 76.2 | Points per Game | 71.9 |
| 80.2 | Points Against | 72.5 |
| 78.9 | Home PPG | 73.3 |
| 75.4 | Home PA | 66.3 |
| 75.2 | Away PPG | 71.3 |
| 83.4 | Away PA | 79.6 |
| 432-547 | Opponent Record | 426-508 |
| 224.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 216.1 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Southern Univ
Texas St
| Mar 14 | Prairie View (15-18) | L66-72 | Mar 6 | Southern Miss (17-16) | L77-81 |
| Mar 13 | Florida A&M (13-16) | W73-70 | Feb 27 | vs Appalachian St (17-13) | W60-57 |
| Mar 12 | Ark Pine Bluff (11-19) | W84-81 | Feb 21 | at Louisiana (11-22) | L54-67 |
| Mar 5 | at Alabama A&M (15-15) | W88-85 | Feb 19 | at South Alabama (19-12) | W90-82 |
| Mar 3 | at Alabama St (9-22) | W71-64 | Feb 14 | vs ULM (2-28) | W95-84 |
| Feb 28 | vs Bethune-Cookman (16-15) | L79-82 | Feb 11 | vs Troy (20-12) | W74-62 |
| Feb 26 | vs Florida A&M (13-16) | L71-82 | Feb 7 | vs W Michigan (9-20) | W77-61 |
| Feb 21 | vs Grambling (12-19) | W87-73 | Feb 4 | at Ga Southern (19-16) | W77-71 |
| Feb 16 | at TX Southern (10-18) | L73-74 | Jan 31 | vs Old Dominion (11-21) | W81-64 |
| Feb 14 | at Prairie View (15-18) | W87-82 | Jan 28 | vs Marshall (18-13) | W72-68 |
