Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Texas A&M 98%, ULM 2% at Texas A&M.
Texas A&M's win probability against ULM is trending down — from 99% to 96% over the last 6 updates.
Texas A&M's win probability against ULM has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Texas A&M's win probability against ULM has held at 98% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.