Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Tennessee St 57%, Howard 43% at Tennessee St.
Tennessee St's win probability against Howard has held at 43% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tennessee St's win probability against Howard has held at 50% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tennessee St's win probability against Howard has held at 57% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.