Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: S Illinois 70%, TN Martin 30% at a neutral site.
S Illinois' win probability against TN Martin is trending down — from 68% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
S Illinois' win probability against TN Martin is trending down — from 73% to 70% over the last 6 updates.
S Illinois' win probability against TN Martin is trending down — from 79% to 75% over the last 6 updates.