Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Niagara
Siena
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
81
B-
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
78
C+
|
|
61
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
70
C-
6099
|
|
Niagara
6099
Siena
6099
|
||
|
76
C
6099
|
Defensive |
87
B+
6099
|
|
Niagara
6099
Siena
6099
|
||
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
65
D
|
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Future) |
65
D
|
Niagara
Siena
| 340 | Overall | 168 |
| 340 | Power | 197 |
| 358 | Offensive | 276 |
| 217 | Defensive | 115 |
| 300 | SoS (Current) | 322 |
| 300 | SoS (Future) | 322 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Siena 90%, Niagara 10% at Siena.
Siena's win probability against Niagara is trending up — from 76% to 79% over the last 6 weeks.
Siena's win probability against Niagara has held at 85% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Siena's win probability against Niagara has held at 90% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Niagara | Neutral | At Siena |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 1 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 2 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 4 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 5 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 8 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 9 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 10 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 11 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 12 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 13 | 85% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 14 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 15 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 16 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 17 | 78% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 18 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 19 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 21 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 22 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 23 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 24 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
Niagara
Siena
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
7-22 (24.1%) |
Overall |
23-12 (65.7%) |
|
5-7 (41.7%) |
Home |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
2-14 (12.5%) |
Away |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-14 (12.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-10 (41.2%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
16-2 (88.9%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Niagara
Siena
| #201 Quinnipiac | Best Win | #135 Merrimack |
| #353 Rider | Worst Loss | #273 Sacred Heart |
| 11 pts vs #360 Delaware St | Largest MOV | 29 pts vs #340 Niagara |
| 58 pts vs #3 Duke | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #58 Indiana |
Niagara
Siena
| 63.3 | Points per Game | 70.4 |
| 71.7 | Points Against | 65.8 |
| 67 | Home PPG | 74.1 |
| 69 | Home PA | 65.6 |
| 60.1 | Away PPG | 68.6 |
| 73.2 | Away PA | 67.8 |
| 461-448 | Opponent Record | 511-570 |
| 232.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 246 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Niagara
Siena
| Mar 1 | vs Merrimack (23-11) | L66-73 | Mar 19 | #3 Duke (35-3) | L65-71 |
| Feb 27 | vs Quinnipiac (18-13) | W78-76 | Mar 10 | Merrimack (23-11) | W64-54 |
| Feb 22 | at Rider (3-25) | L62-67 | Mar 8 | Fairfield (20-13) | W76-61 |
| Feb 20 | at Mt St Mary's (14-17) | L63-76 | Mar 7 | Mt St Mary's (14-17) | W63-58 |
| Feb 15 | vs Iona (18-14) | W70-68 | Mar 1 | vs Rider (3-25) | W76-61 |
| Feb 13 | vs Manhattan (11-20) | L69-76 | Feb 27 | at Fairfield (20-13) | L58-72 |
| Feb 7 | at Quinnipiac (18-13) | L55-56 | Feb 22 | vs St Peter's (16-12) | W72-63 |
| Feb 3 | vs Canisius (9-21) | W65-56 | Feb 20 | at Merrimack (23-11) | L72-79 |
| Feb 1 | vs Marist (18-12) | L46-58 | Feb 15 | at Marist (18-12) | W67-63 |
| Jan 30 | vs Siena (23-12) | L79-82 | Feb 13 | vs Quinnipiac (18-13) | L62-74 |
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