Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Siena 80%, Manhattan 20% at Siena.
Siena's win probability against Manhattan is trending down — from 72% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Siena's win probability against Manhattan has swung between 75% and 81% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 75% now.
Siena's win probability against Manhattan is trending down — from 83% to 80% over the last 6 updates.