Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Jacksonville St
Sam Houston St
|
74
C
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
86
B
|
|
69
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Jacksonville St
6099
Sam Houston St
6099
|
||
|
87
B+
6099
|
Defensive |
75
C
6099
|
|
Jacksonville St
6099
Sam Houston St
6099
|
||
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
84
B
|
Jacksonville St
Sam Houston St
| 233 | Overall | 116 |
| 199 | Power | 125 |
| 277 | Offensive | 83 |
| 116 | Defensive | 224 |
| 176 | SoS (Current) | 144 |
| 176 | SoS (Future) | 144 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Sam Houston St 78%, Jacksonville St 22% at Sam Houston St.
Sam Houston St's win probability against Jacksonville St is trending down — from 66% to 61% over the last 6 weeks.
Sam Houston St's win probability against Jacksonville St is trending down — from 74% to 70% over the last 6 weeks.
Sam Houston St's win probability against Jacksonville St is trending down — from 82% to 78% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Jacksonville St | Neutral | At Sam Houston St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 36% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 1 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 2 | 32% | 41% | 51% |
| Wk 3 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 4 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 5 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 6 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 8 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 9 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 10 | 74% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 11 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 12 | 71% | 79% | 86% |
| Wk 13 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 14 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 15 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 16 | 63% | 72% | 79% |
| Wk 17 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 18 | 66% | 74% | 82% |
| Wk 19 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 20 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 21 | 61% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 22 | 61% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 23 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 24 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
Jacksonville St
Sam Houston St
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
12-17 (41.4%) |
Overall |
19-12 (61.3%) |
|
7-7 (50%) |
Home |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Away |
6-10 (37.5%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-8 (46.7%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-4 (75%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Jacksonville St
Sam Houston St
| #136 Kennesaw | Best Win | #103 Wyoming |
| #338 North Alabama | Worst Loss | #268 Delaware |
| 19 pts vs #136 Kennesaw | Largest MOV | 33 pts vs #217 Florida Intl |
| 15 pts vs #116 Sam Houston St | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #52 New Mexico |
Jacksonville St
Sam Houston St
| 69.9 | Points per Game | 80 |
| 70.6 | Points Against | 76.9 |
| 70.2 | Home PPG | 80.8 |
| 68.3 | Home PA | 71.5 |
| 72.2 | Away PPG | 79.4 |
| 74.4 | Away PA | 81.8 |
| 436-439 | Opponent Record | 472-484 |
| 188.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 171.3 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Jacksonville St
Sam Houston St
| Mar 10 | New Mexico St (13-16) | L63-68 | Mar 18 | at New Mexico (25-12) | L83-107 |
| Mar 7 | at UTEP (8-20) | W64-61 | Mar 13 | Kennesaw (18-14) | L73-79 |
| Mar 5 | at New Mexico St (13-16) | L75-77 | Mar 11 | New Mexico St (13-16) | W69-61 |
| Feb 28 | vs Liberty (23-8) | L78-81 | Mar 7 | at Liberty (23-8) | L72-79 |
| Feb 26 | vs Delaware (10-20) | W80-70 | Mar 5 | at Delaware (10-20) | L80-83 |
| Feb 21 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L78-82 | Feb 28 | vs Missouri St (13-18) | W86-81 |
| Feb 18 | at Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L71-77 | Feb 26 | vs Florida Intl (12-17) | W100-67 |
| Feb 14 | vs New Mexico St (13-16) | L70-79 | Feb 21 | vs Jacksonville St (12-17) | W82-78 |
| Feb 11 | vs UTEP (8-20) | L64-69 | Feb 18 | vs MTSU (14-15) | W78-70 |
| Feb 7 | vs Kennesaw (18-14) | W77-58 | Feb 14 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | W83-79 |
vs
College Basketball